Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions (2024)

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions (1)

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions (2)

Kevin Erickson

July 8, 2024 3:56 am ET

The Cleveland Guardians (56-32) and Detroit Tigers (42-48) begin a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Guardians posted back-to-back 5-4 home victories Saturday and Sunday against the San Francisco Giants after losing Friday’s series opener 4-2. Cleveland also won a pair of 1-run home games against Detroit back on May 6-8 in the season’s 1st series between these AL Central rivals.

While the Guardians have the best AL record and lead the Central by 6 games over the 2nd-place Minnesota Twins, the Guards are just 3-5 in the past 8 inside the division. Cleveland has cashed the Over in 5 of the past 6 games, but the Under is 10-5 in the previous 15 contests on the road.

The Tigers swept a 3-game interleague series at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati over the weekend, including 2 wins as underdogs. Detroit outscored Cincinnati 15-8 in the sweep, while the Under went 2-0-1. However, the Over is 5-2-1 in the Tigers’ past 8 outings.

At home, the Tigers have won 4 of the past 7 games, while the Under has cashed in 5 of the previous 7 outings. Detroit has won only 3 of the past 10 games against the AL Central, while the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 11 inside the division.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Keider Montero

Williams (0-1, 11.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 4 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-2 home setback vs. Chicago White Sox Wednesday in season debut
  • 2023 road splits: 0-2, 2.48 ERA (29 IP, 8 ER), 1.14 WHIP, .188 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 28 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home loss Aug. 18, 2023 in only appearance vs. Detroit

Montero (1-2, 6.60 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 15 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 9-2 road victory vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-2, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.62 WHIP, .286 OBA, 4 BB, 11 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Has never faced Guardians

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks.Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+105) | Tigers +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Tigers 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-150) are worth a play as moderate favorites in this series opener.

Cleveland has struggled against the Tigers (+125) in previous seasons, including going 2-4 in 6 games at Comerica Park last season.

However, the Guardians are playing tremendous baseball this season, and they’ve won 2 of the 3 meetings to date. Williams looked a little rusty in his first outing after injury, but Montero has been very giving. Take Cleveland in a potentially high-scoring affair.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re more adventurous, GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) on the run line is worth a roll of the dice.

Montero looked pretty sharp in Minnesota last time out, posting his 1st career quality start. However, he has been a disaster in front of the home fans, allowing 9 ER, 10 H and 4 BB in just 8 2/3 innings in 1 start and 1 relief appearance at Comerica Park. He should struggle against a solid Cleveland lineup with 2 All-Star starters, 3B Jose Ramirez and OF Steven Kwan.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this divisional battle.

The Over cashed in 2 of 3 games in the first series in Cleveland, and the total went high in 2 of the final 3 meetings at Comerica Park last season, too.

The Over has hit in 7 of the past 9 games for the Guardians, while cashing at a 5-2-1 clip in the previous 8 outings for the Tigers, including Montero’s most recent start in Minnesota July 3.

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions (2024)
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